November 5, 2013

Forex Market Rhythm: EUR, GBP and USD Index

Forex Market Rhythm: EUR, GBP and USD Index

usdindex market rhythm
USD Index 4 hour timeframe
As the market progress after the expectation of the Fed tappering, the USD start to loose its steam against other major currencies.

In the chart above, the USD Index (4 hour TF) was facing a resistance at around EMA 365 (80.75)
after trying to break through, leaving a shooting star with the tail slightly above EMA 365.

There is a good chance that it will head to EMA 21 (80.35). If true, will provide breathing room for other currencies to advance.

EURUSD 4 hour timeframe

EURUSD 4 hour chart shows a hammer formed also near the EMA 365 (1.3475) after two-days fall from 1.37.

Targeting the EMA 21 (1.3560) before going up to SMA 200 (1.36) which also stands as the Big Round Number previously failed to support the EURUSD from falling further. A tough resistance ahead.

The rebound in the euro came as a survey showed euro zone manufacturing activity accelerated in October as new orders increased for the fourth month in a row.

Still, a sharp slowdown in inflation last week has raised the risk the European Central Bank may be forced to cut interest rates as early as this Thursday's policy meeting, or at least lay the groundwork for a move. (reuters)

GBPUSD 4 hour timeframe

Sterling rose against the dollar and traded near a 2-1/2 week high versus the euro on Monday on strong UK construction activity data and expectations the European Central Bank might loosen policy.

However, Sterling's gains against the dollar were likely to be limited after last week's U.S. Federal Reserve statement which markets viewed as leaving the door open to a scaling back of stimulus as soon as December.

Reflected in the chart, GBPUSD has fallen from 1.60 (1.6260 October high) and supported by 1.59.
The price now move toward EMA 21 (1.5990) and may progress further to SMA 200 (1.6075)

Until then,
trade on your own decision.

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About ArrowFX

Technically analyze the forex market mainly on USDJPY, EURUSD and GBPUSD by using market rhythm method started by Philip Nel on Forex Factory. The thread started on 2007 and still alive.
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